Shorts (Picks from Twitter)
This post will serve as a place to share quicker picks that are shared also on Twitter. Here's only picks for now but these are always based on +EV plays from our models.
⛳️ Model preview for BMW PGA Champs live. See https://t.co/856S4vsqb2
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) September 13, 2023
Few winners, Top10s and Top 20s in thread. Going with the simple system where the focus is in top ranked players if they are not showing any negative numbers from main dataset. Risking 5% of the bankroll.
⛳️ Model preview for Irish Open live. See https://t.co/sEOMdLGIhu
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) September 6, 2023
Top10s and Top 20s in thread. Going with the simple system where the focus is in the top ranking players if they are not showing any negative numbers from the main dataset. Risking 7.5% of the bankroll again.
⛳️ Model preview for Omega European Masters live.
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) August 30, 2023
Winners (with EV), Top10s and Top 20s in photos.
Should be a good one and bit more emphasis on course history.
Risking 7.5% of the bankroll. pic.twitter.com/ObkgHGFzX8
⛳️ Model preview for Czech Masters live.
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) August 23, 2023
Our money goes to top 20 in top 10 & top 20 markets in Betfair Exchange. Trying to squeeze 10-20% the current price and it seems to work rather well in illiquid market.
Risking 5% of the bankroll.https://t.co/sEOMdLGIhu
One of our oldest and wisest members predicts a win for Rory @ -10. Seems there's value in betting Morikawa to place inside top 5.
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) June 4, 2023
Si Woo has been extremely strong under pressure so he might be worth your money.
Evaluating these tools for a release.#pgatour #bettingtips pic.twitter.com/bewfSQX4HX
Porsche's competition is played in one of the most demanding courses in the competitive golf today.
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) June 4, 2023
Here's a table of performance from all players starting max. 3 shots from the lead. This is an excellent tool from @DataGolf (Pressure Tool).#DPWT #bettingtips pic.twitter.com/T1gpXJv097
Round 2 3-Balls - all have 5%+ of value in our model:
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) May 19, 2023
Thorbjorn Olesen @ 1.85
Danny Willett @ 2.14
Sepp Straka @ 2.7
Tom Kim @ 2.45
Chris Kirk @ 3.00
Andrew Putnam @ 3.05
Sahith Theegala @ 2.20
Corey Conners @ 2
Davis Thompson @ 2.05
Justin Suh @ 1.80
Matthew NeSmith @ 1.74
LIV - had to bet something. Value plays have been really profitable. This time these looked like these (we were late to be honest and had to leave some to in-play market) pic.twitter.com/Kvqr8baYq1
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) May 12, 2023
LIV plays every week now huh?
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) April 27, 2023
Such a untraditional course and untraditional circus that now goes to Singapore.
Still enjoyable for our members, because more golf is better. More money in golf, better golf worldwide. Ask Tiger Woods if you disagree.
Time for a picks -> 🧵
Board decided that pair competitions do not belong to our betting resume.
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) April 20, 2023
Still as a chairman I took a good old glass of whisky and went through the offers.
Found value in these lines but suggest all to exercise caution. All losses can be earned back by shorting Frittelli #NFA
Some picks to Disney Land event of LIV show.
— Chairman @ Golf Betting Masters (@GolfBettingM) March 30, 2023
All these have shown promise and hunger to play well and seem to enjoy shorter fields and competitions.
Particularly surprised of Lee's odds. pic.twitter.com/p0GKLu7PAK
Short reminder after tomorrow's PGA Tour play (these will be later put to the clubhouse's wall as the Rules of Betting Masters):
Never trust the weather forecast. The pioneer of the competitive golf data (datagolf.com) has not counted it in their models and reason is simple. You can not control weather.
Never trust the bookmaker. They might offer your warm welcome bonuses and offer variety of interesting lines. Most of these are offered just to take your money. BUT, if you end up cracking some of the exotic lines for too long - they will limit you to death.
